Bloody Shovel 3

We will drown and nobody shall save us

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After establishing that facts are useless, I have a lot of facts to show you.

Let us check the demographic history of the recent world. It's pretty interesting. I spent a while gathering up figures, mostly from Wikipedia, and some sporadic Googling. As far as I can tell the figures look pretty reliable.

I recently wrote about how 37% of births in France are Africans. How many people is that? Let's take a look at the number of live births in France.

1900917,075
1910 828,140
1920 838,137
1930 754,020
1940 561,281
1950 862,310
1960 819,819
1970 850,381
1980 800,377
1990 762,407
2000 774,782
2010 802,224
2014 783,000

783,000 in 2014, of which 37.2 are Africans. That makes 291,276 Africans born in France in 2014, for 491,724 mostly white French. What does that mean in the long run though? I found a way of comparing birth rates to present populations, to get an idea. The average life expectancy in most of the develop world is around 80 years old. So just multiply the number of births by 80 to get the "projected population". Of course this assumes stable number of births over 80 years, which is a very stupid assumption. But it does serve our purposes to understand what 783,000 births in a year actually mean. What would it look like if France kept having 783,000 births every year? So let's just multiply the above chart per 80 to see what happens.

ProjectedPopulation after 80 years
1900 73,366,000
1910 66,251,200
1920 67,050,960
1930 60,321,600
1940 44,902,480
1950 68,984,800
1960 65,585,520
1970 68,030,480
1980 64,030,160
1990 60,992,560
2000 61,982,560
2010 64,177,920
2014 62,640,000

So in an imaginary world, in which 1900 birth rates had remained constant forever, France would have had a population of 73 million French. With 1950 birth rates, you get 68 million French. If 2014 birth rates were constant, in 80 years we'd have a population of 62 million. The catch is of those 62 million, 39 million are french, and 23 million are African. And of course it will only get worse.

Let's take a look at some other countries.

GermanyBirthsBirths x 80
1900 1,944,139 155,531,120
1910 1,876,778 150,142,240
1920 932,929 74,634,320
1930 1,144,000 91,520,000
1940 1,402,258 112,180,640
1950 1,116,835 89,346,800
1960 1,261,614 100,929,120
1970 1,047,737 83,818,960
1980 865,789 69,263,120
1990 905,675 72,454,000
2000 766,999 61,359,920
2010 677,947 54,235,760
2014 714,966 57,197,280

The figures for 1900 are 1910 are somewhat misleading, as they include Poles, but still, Germany in 1900 was on truck to having a population of 155 million. As of 2014, Germany will shrink to 57 million, of which a big proportion will be Africans and Arabs (I'll call the Turks as Arabs for dramatic effect). The rising birth rate from 2010 hints that it's not Germans doing the breeding. So see again: a rising empire of 155 million (!) declining into a sad nation of perhaps 40-something million.

SpainBirthsBirths x 80
1900 627,848 50,227,840
1910 646,975 51,758,000
1920 623,339 49,867,120
1930 660,860 52,868,800
1940 631,285 50,502,800
1950 565,378 45,230,240
1960 663,375 53,070,000
1970 663,667 53,093,360
1980 571,018 45,681,440
1990 401,425 32,114,000
2000 397,632 31,810,560
2010 485,252 38,820,160
2014 426,303 34,104,240

Spain's case isn't as dramatic as Germany, but still pretty bleak. On track for 53 million s late as 1970, not they'll be lucky to get to 30 million.

NetherlandsBirthsBirths x 80
1900 162,611 13,008,880
1910 170,766 13,661,280
1920 192,987 15,438,960
1930 182,310 14,584,800
1940 184,846 14,787,680
1950 229,718 18,377,440
1960 239,128 19,130,240
1970 238,912 19,112,960
1980 181,294 14,503,520
1990 197,965 15,837,200
2000 206,619 16,529,520
2010 184,397 14,751,760
2014 174,507 13,960,560

The Netherlands, on track for 19 million by 1970, now perhaps half that.

United KingdomBirthsBirths x 80
1900 1,091,000 87,280,000
1910 975,000 78,000,000
1920 824,000 65,920,000
1930 793,000 63,440,000
1940 793,000 63,440,000
1950 962,000 76,960,000
1960 918,286 73,462,880
1970 903,907 72,312,560
1980 753,708 60,296,640
1990 798,612 63,888,960
2000 679,029 54,322,320
2010 807,271 64,581,680
2014 776,400 62,112,000

Damn, the Brits were crazy back in 1900. 87 million! No wonder they left to Australia and beyond. However the English race won't blight the Earth any longer, as it's barely projected to number 40 million by 2094, while South Asians and Africans take their place. I do think the English could thrive under Islam though. The English have always been a religious people. And while alcohol might be tough to forsake, it's probably for their own good. And they'd be free to bugger boys with abandon. That more than compensates for the prohibition of beer. So cheers for Londonistan.

PolandBirthsBirths x 80
1900 -
1910 -
1920 890,400 71,232,000
1930 1,022,811 81,824,880
1940 849,873 67,989,840
1950 763,108 61,048,640
1960 669,485 53,558,800
1970 545,973 43,677,840
1980 692,798 55,423,840
1990 545,817 43,665,360
2000 378,348 30,267,840
2010 413,300 33,064,000
2014 375,160 30,012,800

No figures for Poland before WW1, but wow, 1930 Poles were breeding like rabbits. 81 million projected! Hitler and Stalin took care of that, and the Cathedral gave the final blow. Poles will be lucky to be 30 million people at this rate. But hey, at least they're not invaded by foreigners. Yet.

FinlandBirthsBirths x 80
1900 86,339 6,907,120
1910 92,984 7,438,720
1920 84,714 6,777,120
1930 75,236 6,018,880
1940 65,849 5,267,920
1950 98,065 7,845,200
1960 82,129 6,570,320
1970 64,559 5,164,720
1980 63,064 5,045,120
1990 65,549 5,243,920
2000 56,742 4,539,360
2010 60,980 4,878,400
2014 57,232 4,578,560

Finland had its peak in 1910, with 7.4 million projected. Now it's down to 4.5 million. But it's all perhaps for the best. It's a nasty piece of real estate they got up there. One wonders how the hell did they plan to feed 7 million Finns. Unfortunately Finland is now starting to bringing Muslims into the Arctic, so they'll have to deal with that. The Arabs may not breed that much up there. It's cold and dark, and they don't drink. Finns should make a documentary about miserable Arabs in the Arctic Winter, just for fun.

HungaryBirthsBirths x 80
1900 -
1910 -
1920 249,000 19,920,000
1930 220,000 17,600,000
1940 185,562 14,844,960
1950 195,567 15,645,360
1960 146,461 11,716,880
1970 151,819 12,145,520
1980 148,673 11,893,840
1990 125,679 10,054,320
2000 97,597 7,807,760
2010 90,335 7,226,800
2014 91,150 7,292,000

The same as Poland, Hungary went crazy after WW1. All the wars and craziness of independence must have made them very optimistic about the future. Or maybe it was an Afghan style "gotta breed some more to raise soldiers to kill our enemies". Again Communism took care of that, and US overlordship gave the final blow. Hungary today has a projected population of almost 1/3 of its 1920 peak.

CroatiaBirthsBirths x 80
1900 97,000 7,760,000
1910 99,000 7,920,000
1920 -
1930 -
1940 -
1950 95,560 7,644,800
1960 76,156 6,092,480
1970 61,103 4,888,240
1980 68,220 5,457,600
1990 55,409 4,432,720
2000 43,746 3,499,680
2010 43,361 3,468,880
2014 39,566 3,165,280

Croatia follows the Eastern European pattern. It's no wonder the Habsburg empire was having so much trouble. The minorities were breeding so much! They were fortunate to lose to the Communists so that they all lost interest in human existence. Croatians were busy fighting for independence from Serbians, but apparently haven't realized that for Croatia to exist it needs some Croatians. Guess the saying it's true, the only worse thing than not getting what you want, is getting what you want.

Let's now venture outside Europe.

USABirthsBirths x 80
1900 -
1910 -
1920 -
1930 2,377,000 190,160,000
1940 2,559,000 204,720,000
1950 3,632,000 290,560,000
1960 4,257,000 340,560,000
1970 3,731,386 298,510,880
1980 3,612,258 288,980,640
1990 4,158,212 332,656,960
2000 4,058,814 324,705,120
2010 3,999,386 319,950,880
2014 3,985,924 318,873,920

If I'm not mistaken the US didn't get much immigration from 1925 to 1965, so the increase in births is staggering. By 1960 the projected population was 340 million. And that was 90% white. Alas by now white births are half the total, so about 2 million, which gives 160 million whites in 80 years.

JapanBirthsBirths x 80
1900 1,470,000 117,600,000
1910 1,782,000 142,560,000
1920 2,105,000 168,400,000
1930 2,085,000 166,800,000
1940 2,100,164 168,013,120
1950 2,337,507 187,000,560
1960 1,627,939 130,235,120
1970 1,955,277 156,422,160
1980 1,576,889 126,151,120
1990 1,221,585 97,726,800
2000 1,194,000 95,520,000
2010 1,083,000 86,640,000
2014 1,001,000 80,080,000

Japan today is the oldest country on Earth, but the most important part is how fast the demographic transition was. In 1950 there were 2.3 million Japanese being born. That projects a population of 187 million! Well that didn't happen. Japan is barely producing 1 million babies per year, which adds nicely to 80 million. Not bad, but of course it may get worse before it gets better. But as long as they keep the borders closed it'll be a nice place.

RussiaBirthsBirths x 80
1900 -
1910 -
1920 -
1930 4,412,000 352,960,000
1940 3,814,000 305,120,000
1950 2,859,000 228,720,000
1960 2,662,135 212,970,800
1970 1,903,713 152,297,040
1980 2,202,779 176,222,320
1990 1,988,858 159,108,640
2000 1,266,800 101,344,000
2010 1,788,948 143,115,840
2014 1,947,301 155,784,080

Say what you will about Stalin but his subjects in 1930 were breeding like champs. 4.4 million births! That would add up to 350 million Russians. Which is sorta inaccurate, as the Russian life expectancy doesn't get to 80 years, not by a mile, but still. Note also the very impressive recovery since 2000. Russia seems to be doing well at continuing to be Russia. And no I won't accept that it's all the Caucasian and Turkic Muslims doing all the breeding unless you give me their birth data.

ChinaBirthsBirths x 80
1900 -
1910 -
1920 -
1930 -
1940 -
1950 20,232,000 1,618,560,000
1960 13,915,000 1,113,200,000
1970 27,356,000 2,188,480,000
1980 17,868,000 1,429,440,000
1990 23,910,000 1,912,800,000
2000 17,710,000 1,416,800,000
2010 15,920,000 1,273,600,000
2014 16,870,000 1,349,600,000

Dumb people tend to ask why China did something so evil as the One Child Policy. Well by 1990 China was projected to have 1,9 billion people. And now it doesn't. There's still almost 17 million Chinese being born every year, so they're doing ok. But good for Deng.

IndiaBirthsBirths x 80
1900 -
1910 -
1920 -
1930 -
1940 -
1950 16,832,000 1,346,560,000
1960 19,086,000 1,526,880,000
1970 25,577,000 2,046,160,000
1980 27,566,000 2,205,280,000
1990 26,388,000 2,111,040,000
2000 27,191,000 2,175,280,000
2010 27,064,000 2,165,120,000
2014 27,379,500 2,190,360,000

While China dodged the bullet, India didn't manage to. It took the bullet squarely into their heads. Look at those figures. 27 million Indians are being born every year. Let that sink into your head for a while. Twenty Seven Million. Every Year. Now almost half of India is malnourished as it is, imagine when this kids grow up. No way India is going to raise feed 2 billion people. The famines are going to be something to behold. I wonder what Raspail thinks of these figures.

IraqBirthsBirths x 80
1900 -
1910 -
1920 -
1930 -
1940 -
1950 327,000 26,160,000
1960 343,000 27,440,000
1970 475,000 38,000,000
1980 571,000 45,680,000
1990 719,000 57,520,000
2000 960,000 76,800,000
2010 1,079,000 86,320,000
2014 -

While even India is keeping the births more or less stagnant, take a look at this. Iraq's births have tripled in 60 years. Tripled. At this rate there'd be 86 million Iraqis on earth. The Tigris and Eufrates are nice but they can't feed 86 million people. I doubt they carry enough water for 86 million Arabs to drink. Where will these people go?

EgyptBirthsBirths x 80
1900 -
1910 -
1920 -
1930 -
1940 697,700 55,816,000
1950 904,941 72,395,280
1960 1,113,888 89,111,040
1970 1,161,539 92,923,120
1980 1,569,247 125,539,760
1990 1,687,000 134,960,000
2000 1,751,854 140,148,320
2010 2,261,409 180,912,720
2014 2,720,495 217,639,600

Well the same place the Egyptians are going to go. Egypt is insane. 2.7 million births last year. At this rate there'll be 217 million Egyptians. They're going to eat the pyramids. If the Muslim Brotherhood doesn't blow them up before they do.

NigeriaBirthsBirths x 80
1900 -
1910 -
1920 -
1930 -
1940 -
1950 1,821,000 145,680,000
1960 2,202,000 176,160,000
1970 2,081,000 166,480,000
1980 3,642,000 291,360,000
1990 4,446,000 355,680,000
2000 5,606,000 448,480,000
2010 7,000,000 560,000,000
2014 -

I won't comment on this one. 560 million Nigerians. Hahahaha. Haha. Ha...

What's most funny is when you compare all these figures to the actual population figures, past and present.

 IndiaNigeriaIraqEgypt
Actual 1900 280,912,000 16,000,000 2,060,000 8,000,000
Actual 1950 357,561,000 29,790,000 5,158,000 21,834,000
Actual 2015 1,252,000,000 173,600,000 36,632,000 88,800,000
Projected 2094 2,190,360,000 560,000,000 86,320,000 217,639,600

India had 280 million people in 1900. At this rate it will have 2.2 billion.

Nigeria had 16 million people (by British count) in 1900. At this rate it will have 560 million.

Iraq had 2 million people in 1900. 2 million! At this rate it will have 43 times as much.

Egypt had 8 million. Damn 1900 Egypt must have been a beautiful place. Now it has 88 million, 10 times as more, and at this rate it will have 217 million.

None of this will happen, of course. Something has to give. There is not enough food to feed all those Arabs, Indians and Africans. And I'm not going to feed them. I'm also quite positive that the future brown majorities in France, Germany and England are not going to feed them either. Oh, it's gonna be fun. Utterly miserable. But fun.

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  • “None of this will happen, of course. Something has to give. There is not enough food to feed all those Arabs, Indians and Africans. And I’m not going to feed them. I’m also quite positive that the future brown majorities in France, Germany and England are not going to feed them either. Oh, it’s gonna be fun. Utterly miserable. But fun.”

    Not to worry mang, the Cathedral's got shit [i.e. ecological overshoot, see William R. Catton's 'Overshoot' and 'Bottleneck'] covered. You see, in the existing global hierarchy, “whitey” is still at the very pinnacle of the food-chain, hence there's plenty of elbow room for “re-equilibration”. This is where Robin Hood'esque projects come into play to make things right in a world painfully scarred by memories of centuries-long alien colonial/imperial domination. Think of climate-change, multikulti/mass-immigration, affirmative action, the deconstruction of “whiteness” and a huuuuge array of other concessions, as forms of cryptoreparation—to satisfy the global surge in the quest for personal dignity, cultural respect and economic opportunity.

    The trick is to move somewhere very fucking cold and underpopulated, then befriend some Inuit...and live happily ever after.

    • Not to mention, universal access to the interwebz, radio and teevee, creates a shared envy of seeing “whitey” precariously perched atop of the food-chain—it is the youngin's of the third world that are particularly resentful and restless.

      Longer term, it should make any thinking person wonder who the most probable target of soft followed by eventual hard-genocide will be?

  • Funnily enough I read this from the Guardian today:

    http://www.theguardian.com/news/2015/nov/18/why-south-african-students-have-turned-on-their-parents-generation

    Which illustrates your genocide point well and the economic crisis (probably requiring an IMF bailout) on the horizons illustrates your food point.

    • Interesting article, but with all the usual dreariness: twenty years after the end of apartheid, Blacks are pissed and YT must pay and be written out of history. Racial consciousness goes to the bone.

    • Yeah, just looking at the copycat protests at Mizzou, Yale and elsewhere, South Africa might provide a pretty good glimpse—a fasttracked proxy-microcosm of the West at large.

  • It will be a great tragedy, or the largest quantity of human death and suffering. ever. It may be nearer to the "end times" from a religious standpoint.

    Do what the Mormons (historically) did, and keep a year or so supply of food for you and your loved ones. Also, don't tell anyone.

  • As angry as so many of us were at the so-called "Migrant Crisis" in 2015, these numbers show that "it *is* inevitable" -- If not now, then later, maybe even much later, but in some scenario or other, it is inevitable. The leftwing drones are correct...Unless we seize control of our own destiny again. Revivalism is yet possible.

  • On the small good news front, the USA has recovered to 54% of births being White, from reportedly perhaps being hitting 49.9% for the first time a few years back.

    See the graph at Total Fertility Rates by Race in the USA, 1980-2013. U.S. Whites are no longer being vastly outbred by Nonwhites in relative terms.

    The following were the actual number of births in 2013:

    2,130,000 babies born to White Non-Hispanic women (54.1%). 580,000 babies born to Black Non-Hispanic women (14.8%). 900,000 babies born to Hispanic women (22.9%). 270,000 babies born to Asian women (6.8%). 46,000 babies born to American-Indian women (1.2%).

  • It's all good, we'll just use crispr to make new Super crops to feed all the people.

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